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Hurricane Rita Satellite Image

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Cone

 
By Dr. José G. Martín, Provost

4:00 p.m. Thursday, September 22 
 
Brownsville and the Southern Texas coast have been spared the effects of Hurricane Rita.  Please remember those along the coast and inland who will be affected and keep them in your thoughts. 
 
Thank you for your attention to all of these bulletins.  Hopefully we will get through the rest of the Hurricane Season without anything coming our way!   But just in case, keep your Hurricane Plan handy and be prepared. 
 
We do not anticipate issuing any more advisories.

1:00 p.m. Thursday, September 22 
 
Hurricane Rita is still expected to have landfall near the Freeport/Galveston area.  It is not anticipated that it will change its course.  Therefore, the University will continue normal operations for the rest of the week and there will be no suspension of classes. If there are any changes we will keep you informed.       
 
Hurricane Rita has weakened to a strong category four hurricane. Some slight weakening is forecasted during the next 24 hours but Rita is expected to remain an extremely dangerous hurricane. The tropical storm watch for the Brownsville area still remains in effect.  The eye of Hurricane Rita is located near Latitude 25.5 North and Longitude 89.2 West or about 435 miles Southeast of Galveston, Texas.  Rita is moving toward the West-Northwest near 9 mph.  A gradual turn to the Northwest is expected during the next 24 to 36 hours.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 150 mph.  Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.  Estimations are for coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels along with large and dangerous battering waves near to and to the right of where the center makes landfall.  
 
Rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum 15 inches total are possible along the path of Rita, particularly over Southeast Texas and Western Louisiana.  Based on the forecast track, rainfall totals in excess of 25 inches are possible after Rita moves inland.      
 
We will continue to monitor the movement of Hurricane Rita and will keep you informed of any changes. Until that time, continue doing business as usual.
 
Our next advisory will be issued at 4:00 p.m. Thursday, September 22.
 

10:00 a.m. September 22
 
Hurricane Rita is still expected to have landfall near the Freeport/Galveston area.  It is not anticipated that it will change course.  Therefore, the University will continue normal operations for today and Friday and there will be no suspension of classes.  If there are any changes we will keep you informed.  We are fortunate that Rita will not be coming our way.  We must remember those along the coast who will be affected and we should keep them in our thoughts.        
 
Hurricane Rita is expected to weaken slightly but is forecasted to make landfall as a dangerous hurricane.  The tropical storm watch for the Brownsville area still remains in effect.  The eye of Hurricane Rita is located near Latitude 25.4 north and Longitude 88.7 west or about 445 miles southeast of Port Arthur, Texas.  Rita is moving toward the West-Northwest near 9 mph.  A gradual turn to the northwest is expected during the next 24 to 36 hours. 
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 165 mph.  Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.  Estimations are for coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels along with large and dangerous battering waves near to and to the right of where the center makes landfall. 
 
Rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum 15 inches total are possible along the path of Rita, particularly over southeast Texas and western Louisiana.  Based on the forecast track, rainfall totals in excess of 25 inches are possible after Rita moves inland.       
 
We will continue to monitor the movement of Hurricane Rita and will keep you informed of any changes.  Until that time, continue doing business as usual.  
 
Our next advisory will be issued at 2:30 p.m. Thursday, September 22.


8:00 a.m. Thursday, September 22

Latest indications are that Hurricane Rita will hit near the Freeport/Galveston area.  At this time we will continue normal business operations. This does not mean that we let down our guard, since hurricanes have been known to change their courses.    

Hurricane Rita is a potentially catastrophic category five.  The tropical storm watch for the Brownsville area still remains in effect.  The eye of Hurricane Rita is located near Latitude 25.2 North and Longitude 88.3 West or about 595 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi.  Rita is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.  Maximum sustained winds are estimated near 170 mph with higher gusts.  

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.  Once Rita moves inland, total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches will be possible over Eastern Texas and central and Eastern Oklahoma during Saturday and Sunday.      

We will continue to monitor the movement of Hurricane Rita and will keep you informed of any changes.  Until that time, continue doing business as usual.    

Our next advisory will be issued at 10:30 a.m. Thursday, September 22.
 

5:00 p.m. Wednesday, September 21

At 4:00 p.m. CDT a Tropical Storm Watch was issued for the Gulf of Mexico coast from south of Port Mansfield to Brownsville.  A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours. 

The eye of Hurricane Rita is located near Latitude 24.4 North and Longitude 86.8 West or about 700 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi.  Rita is moving toward the west near 13 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.  Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph with higher gusts.  This is an extremely dangerous category five hurricane.  Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next 24 hours. 

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.   

We continue to monitor the situation closely and expect to have more definitive information by mid-day tomorrow.     

Our next advisory will be issued at 8:30 a.m.Thursday, September 22.
 

2:55 p.m. Wednesday, September 21

Data from Reconnaissance aircraft indicates that Rita has reached Category 5 intensity with estimated maximum sustained surface winds of 165 mph.  It is approximately located at Latitude 24.3 North and Longitude 86.5 West.   

Governor Rick Perry today urged coastal residents from Beaumont-Port Arthur to Corpus Christi to voluntarily evacuate in advance of Hurricane Rita “if they have the means”.

We are continuing to monitor the situation closely and expect to have more definitive information by mid-day tomorrow.     

Our next advisory will be issued at 5:00 p.m. Wednesday, September 21.
 

10:00 a.m. Wednesday, September 21

At 9:00 a.m. CDT, the eye of Hurricane Rita was located near Latitude 24.3 North and Longitude 85.9 West or about 755 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi.   

Rita is moving toward the west near 13 mph and this motion is expected to continue during the next 12 to 24 hours.  Rita is an extremely dangerous hurricane with winds now estimated at 140 mph with higher gusts.   

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles.

At this time the University has not made any decisions about suspending classes or closing the campus.  We will continue to monitor the Hurricane and will make a determination as soon as we know more.  Please continue to review the University’s Hurricane Plan and be ready to take action if the need arises.       

Our next advisory will be issued at 3:00 p.m. Wednesday, September 21.


8:00 a.m. Wednesday, September 21, 2005

At 7:00 a.m. CDT, the eye of Hurricane Rita was located near Latitude 24.4 North and Longitude 85.3 West or about 790 miles East-Southeast of Corpus Christi.  The hurricane has been upgraded to a Category 4. 
 
Rita is moving toward the west near 14 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.  Satellite imagery suggests that Rita has continued to strengthen and maximum sustained winds have increased to near 135 mph with higher gusts. 
 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles.     
   
Our next advisory will be issued at 11:00 a.m. Wednesday, September 21.

5:00 p.m. Tuesday, September 20, 2005

We are continuing to watch Hurricane Rita. There have not been any real changes regarding location and wind speed.  At 5:00 p.m. CDT Rita was located near latitude 24.0 North and Longitude 82.2 West and was moving West at 15 mph.  Maximum sustained winds are 100 mph. 
 
Governor Perry today certified that Hurricane Rita poses a threat of imminent disaster along the Texas Coast. In accordance with his authority he proclaimed the existence of such threat and directed that all necessary measures, both public and private, be implemented to meet that threat.  All rules and regulations that may inhibit or prevent prompt response to this threat are suspended for the duration of the incident.  
  
Our next advisory will be issued at 8:00 a.m. Wednesday, September 21.


2:00 p.m. Tuesday, September 20, 2005

For several days we have been watching the weather system in the Bahamas.  The system reached tropical storm status on Sunday and was named “Rita”.  Rita reached hurricane status this morning at 10:00 Brownsville time and has since been upgraded to a Category 2 Hurricane as of 2:00 p.m. CDT.  The forecast is for the hurricane to continue to move to the west into the Gulf of Mexico by tomorrow, Wednesday, and then things will become more uncertain. 
 
Current projections are that it will turn northward and hit around the Galveston area.  However, we can never be sure once it gets into the Gulf.  We have a couple of days to watch this hurricane and to prepare.  We will be in contact with city, county and state emergency planners and will work towards a coordinated response should the need arise.
 
At home, start thinking about securing your property, start assembling important papers, and stock up on needed supplies (water, non-perishable food, prescription medications, flashlights, etc.)  Make sure you have a family plan. Where will you go?  How will you get there?  What will you do with your pets? 
 
On the heels of Katrina, we know that we’re all nervous.  All we can do right now is watch, get ready, stay calm, be rational, and think clearly.  We’ve faced storms before and each one is new and each one brings its own challenges.  We’ll be paying close attention to Rita and working hard to prepare.
                                                                 

 

 

 

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Last Updated September 2005
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